ATP 500 Vienna 1/16-Finals
Machac – Cobolli: 22.10.2025 13:00 CEST
H2H: 3-0
Tomas Machac has lost three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Shanghai, where he retired mid-match against Vacherot in the third round. Last season in Vienna, Machac lost in the quarterfinals against Draper in three tight sets.
Flavio Cobolli has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Almaty, Cobolli lost to Duckworth in the quarterfinals in straight sets. Last season in Vienna, the Italian lost against de Minaur in the second round.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Machac is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He leads 3-0 in head-to-head meetings against Cobolli. The Italian is a clay-court specialist and will have problems against Machac. We expect Machac to win.
That being said, Machac winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Tomas Machac winning @1.53 @bet365
Popyrin – Berrettini: 22.10.2025 13:30 CEST
H2H: 1-3
Alexei Popyrin has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Stockholm, Popyrin lost to Korda in the opening round in three sets. Last season in Vienna, Popyrin lost against Mensik in the opening round in straight sets.
Matteo Berrettini has lost three of his last five matches. Last week in Stockholm, Berrettini lost to Humbert in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. This will be his fourth appearance in Vienna. He has never made it past the semifinals here. Last season, the Italian lost to Khachanov in the quarterfinals.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Berrettini is the slight favourite in this matchup, and we agree. Popyrin struggled last week in Stockholm. On the other hand, Berrettini is slowly returning to his best level. He also leads 3-1 in head-to-head meetings, and we expect him to win.
That being said, Berrettini winning is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Matteo Berrettini winning @1.62 @bet365
Medvedev – Borges: 22.10.2025 15:00 CEST
H2H: 3-0
Daniil Medvedev has won four of his last five matches. Last week in Almaty, Medvedev won the ATP 250 title. It is his first ATP title after two and a half years. Around this time last season, the Russian played in Paris, where Popyrin upset him in the opening round.
Nuno Borges has won three of his last five matches. The last match he played was in Shanghai, where he lost to de Minaur in the 1/8-Finals in straight sets. For the past two weeks, Borges took some time off. He hopes for a solid result this week in Vienna to keep his top 50 status.
Best Bet to Make
According to the bookies, Medvedev is the favourite in this matchup, and we agree. He had a great run last week in Almaty. On the other hand, Borges has not played any competitive matches over the past two weeks. Medvedev leads 3-0 in head-to-head meetings against Borges and has lost only one set against him. We expect a one-sided match.
That being said, Medvedev covering the games handicap is a value bet.
Value bet/ the best odds: Daniil Medvedev -4.5 games handicap @2.00 @bet365
Main Photo Credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
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